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    TotalEnergies SE: Second Quarter 2026: Main Indicators

    7/16/26 2:22:00 AM ET
    $TTE
    Oil & Gas Production
    Energy
    Get the next $TTE alert in real time by email

    Regulatory News:

    The main indicators, estimated financial information and key elements impacting TotalEnergies’ (PARIS:TTE) (LSE:TTE) (NYSE:TTE) second quarter 2026 aggregates are shown below:

    Main indicators

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    2Q26

    1Q26

    4Q25

    3Q25

    2Q25

    €/$

     

    1.16

    1.17

    1.16

    1.17

    1.13

    Brent

    ($/b)

    103.8

    81.1

    63.7

    69.1

    67.9

    TTF

    ($/Mbtu)

    15.6

    13.7

    10.3

    11.3

    11.9

    Average liquids price * (1)

    ($/b)

    91.6

    73.7

    61.4

    66.5

    65.6

    Average gas price * (1)

    ($/Mbtu)

    5.55

    5.59

    5.11

    5.50

    5.63

    Average LNG price ** (1)

    ($/Mbtu)

    10.20

    8.48

    8.48

    8.91

    9.10

    European Refining Margin Marker (ERM) ***

    ($/b)

    13.5

    11.4

    11.4

    8.4

    4.7

    * Sales in $ / Sales in volume for consolidated affiliates.

    ** Sales in $ / Sales in volume for consolidated and equity affiliates.

    *** This market indicator for European refining, calculated based on public market prices ($/b), uses a basket of crudes, petroleum product yields and variable costs representative of the European refining system of TotalEnergies.

    (1) Does not include oil, gas and LNG trading activities, respectively.

    Main elements impacting the quarter aggregates

    • Hydrocarbon production for the second quarter 2026 is expected to be at nearly 2.4 Mboe/d.
    • This production should leverage a strong organic growth in line with the quarterly guidance of 4%.
    • The impact of the Middle East conflict for the second quarter is around 210 kboe/d, which is below the guidance communicated last quarter of 360 kboe/d. This is notably driven by the ramp-up of the Company’s production in offshore United Arab Emirates over the course of the quarter and the restart of production in the other countries in the region during June. However, a significant portion of this production could not be lifted during the quarter and is recognized in Exploration & Production results based on the crude price from end-June (less than $70/b).
    • Exploration & Production cash flow is expected to reflect this level of production while capturing the increase of the average liquids prices (+$17.9/b over the quarter, vs $22.7/b for Brent, due to a lifting schedule weighted towards the end of the quarter, in a softer crude market), leading to an increase of around $1 billion vs first quarter. Exploration & Production results are expected to increase but will be affected by the accounting effects related to production that was not lifted.
    • Integrated LNG cash flow and results are expected to decrease significantly, affected by an underperformance in gas trading activities amid a broadly flat to declining European market, after outperforming in the first quarter.
    • Integrated Power cash flow is expected to increase strongly supported by the closing of the transaction with EPH on April 29.
    • Downstream results and cash flow are expected to increase sharply compared to the first quarter of 2026, supported by higher refining and petrochemical margins, as well as oil trading results, which are expected to remain at the same strong level as in the first quarter. Marketing & Services should benefit from the same positive seasonal effect as observed in the second quarter of 2025.
    • A decrease in working capital between $1 and 1.5 billion is anticipated over the quarter, mainly related to the impact of lower hydrocarbon prices at the end of the quarter on inventories.
    • As quarterly net investments are expected to be in line with the annual guidance of $15 billion, the gearing ratio is expected to improve by 2 points at the end of the second quarter of 2026.

    2026 Sensitivities*

     

     

    Change

    Estimated impact on

    adjusted net

    operating income

    Estimated impact on

    cash flow from

    operations

    Dollar

    +/- 0.1 $ per €

    -/+ 0.1 B$

    ~0 B$

    Average liquids price **

    +/- 10 $/b

    +/- 2.3 B$

    +/- 2.8 B$

    European gas price – TTF

    +/- 2 $/Mbtu

    +/- 0.4 B$

    +/- 0.4 B$

    European Refining Margin Marker (ERM)

    +/- 1 $/b

    +/- 0.3 B$

    +/- 0.4 B$

    * Sensitivities are revised once per year upon publication of the previous year’s fourth quarter results. Sensitivities are estimates based on assumptions about TotalEnergies’ portfolio in 2026. Actual results could vary significantly from estimates based on the application of these sensitivities. The impact of the $-€ sensitivity on adjusted net operating income is essentially attributable to Refining & Chemicals.

    ** In a 60-70 $/b Brent environment.

    Disclaimer

    Unless otherwise stated, the terms "TotalEnergies", "TotalEnergies company" and "Company" in this document are used to designate TotalEnergies SE and the consolidated entities directly or indirectly controlled by TotalEnergies SE. Likewise, the words "we", "us" and "our" may also be used to refer to these entities or their employees. The entities in which TotalEnergies SE directly or indirectly owns a shareholding are separate and independent legal entities. The term "Corporation" as used in this document exclusively refers to TotalEnergies SE, which is the parent company of the Company.

    The data presented in this document is based on TotalEnergies’ internal preliminary reporting and is not audited. This data is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of all items that will affect TotalEnergies SE’s results or to provide an estimate of 2026 quarterly results. Actual results may vary. To the extent permitted by law, TotalEnergies SE disclaims all liability from the use of this data.

    This document may contain forward-looking statements (including forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), notably with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, business activities and strategy of TotalEnergies and expectations regarding returns to stockholders, including with respect to future dividends and share buybacks. This document may also contain statements regarding the perspectives, objectives, areas of improvement and goals of TotalEnergies SE, including with respect to climate change and carbon neutrality. An ambition expresses an outcome desired by TotalEnergies, it being specified that the means to be deployed do not depend solely on TotalEnergies.

    These forward-looking statements may generally be identified by the use of the future or conditional tense or forward-looking words such as "will", "should", "could", "would", "may", "likely", "might", "envisions", "intends", "anticipates", "believes", "considers", "plans", "expects", "thinks", "targets", "commits", "aims" or similar terminology. Such forward-looking statements included in this document are based on economic data, estimates and assumptions prepared in a given economic, competitive and regulatory environment and considered to be reasonable by TotalEnergies as of the date of this document.

    These forward-looking statements are not historical data and should not be interpreted as assurances that the perspectives, objectives or goals announced will be achieved. They are uncertain and may evolve or be modified with a significant difference between the actual results and those initially estimated, due to the uncertainties notably related to the economic, financial, competitive and regulatory environment, or due to the occurrence of risk factors, such as, notably, the price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas, the evolution of the demand and price of petroleum products, the changes in production results and reserves estimates, the ability to achieve cost reductions and operating efficiencies without unduly disrupting business operations, changes in laws and regulations including those related to the environment and climate, currency fluctuations, technological innovations, meteorological conditions and events, as well as socio-demographic, economic and political developments, changes in market conditions, loss of market share and changes in consumer preferences, pandemics, and other risk factors described from time to time in the Corporation regulatory filings, including its Universal Registration Document filed with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers, its Annual Report on Form 20 F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and its other reports filed or furnished with the SEC.

    Readers are cautioned not to consider forward-looking statements as certain, but as an expression of the Corporation’s views only as of the date this document is published.

    TotalEnergies SE and its subsidiaries have no obligation, make no commitment and expressly disclaim any responsibility to investors or any stakeholder to update or revise, particularly as a result of new information or future events, any forward-looking information or statement, objectives or trends contained in this document. In addition, the Corporation has not verified, and is under no obligation to verify any third-party data contained in this document or used in the estimates and assumptions or, more generally, forward-looking statements published in this document. The information on risk factors that could have a significant adverse effect on TotalEnergies’ business, financial condition, including its operating income and cash flow, reputation, outlook or the value of financial instruments issued by TotalEnergies is provided in the most recent version of the Universal Registration Document which is filed by TotalEnergies SE with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers and the annual report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC.

    Additionally, the developments of climate change and other environmental or social-related issues in this document are based on various frameworks and the interests of various stakeholders which are subject to evolve independently of our will. Moreover, our disclosures on such issues, including disclosures on climate change and other environmental or social-related issues, may include information that is not necessarily "material" under US securities laws for SEC reporting purposes or under applicable securities law.

    In addition to IFRS measures, certain alternative performance indicators are presented, such as performance indicators excluding the adjustment items described below (adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income), net cash flow, free cash flow after organic investments, normalized gearing, return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed (ROACE), gearing ratio, cash flow from operations excluding working capital, debt adjusted cash flow, and the payout ratio. These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of TotalEnergies and the comparison of income between periods. They allow investors to track the measures used internally to manage and measure the performance of TotalEnergies.

    Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the internal reporting system and shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the performance of TotalEnergies. TotalEnergies measures performance at the segment level on the basis of adjusted net operating income.

    The adjusted results (adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income) are defined as replacement cost results, adjusted for special items, excluding the effect of changes in fair value. For further details on the adjustment items, please refer to the last published earnings statement and notes to the consolidated financial statements.

    Euro amounts presented for the fully adjusted-diluted earnings per share represent dollar amounts converted at the average euro-dollar (€-$) exchange rate for the applicable period and are not the result of financial statements prepared in euros.

    Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in the Form 20-F of TotalEnergies SE, File N° 1-10888, available from us at 2, place Jean Millier – Arche Nord Coupole/Regnault – 92078 Paris-La Défense Cedex, France, or at the Corporation website totalenergies.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or on the SEC’s website sec.gov.

    View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260715079580/en/

    TotalEnergies SE

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